Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. And yes, Id be remiss if I failed to disclose that my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds did most of my bankrolls heavy-lifting. ET on Sunday. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. This week's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and adding Vickers would be a smart pick up for almost any team owner. Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. ET Fantasy Football. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. Give me the fast car at a fast track. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. Kyle Larson 2. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. Play Erik Jones at $8100. As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Thats a good effort for him. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. my wifes bet on Ricky Stenhouse to win the Daytona 500 at 40-1 NASCAR odds, translates to an implied probability of 51.22%. Another part of McClure's NASCAR DFS strategy includes rostering Tyler Reddick ($9,700 on DraftKings and $11,500 on FanDuel). Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. Michigan Track History Tyler Reddick has finished worse in each new Michigan race of his, and I think that trend will end. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. I believe thats a mistake. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. Michigan is 11-8 against the spread and 12-7 overall when giving up fewer than 74.2 points. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,100)Career at Auto Club: 9 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.6. However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. Last year, NASCAR bettors had Michigan DraftKings NASCAR Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown, go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel, Homestead DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Dixie Vodka 400), Kansas 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Hollywood Casino 400), Darlington 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Cook Out Southern 500), Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Zero Sugar 400), Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling At The Glen), Richmond 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Federated Auto Parts 400), Sharps Moving NASCAR Betting Lines For Auto Club Speedway Race. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. ET Fantasy Football. Chase Elliott ($9,200) My projections really like Chase Elliott this weekend, and even though its pretty uncomfortable to put together a DraftKings lineup with both front row starters on it, that strategy could definitely work out this weekend at Michigan. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. Reddick was especially strong at the 1.5-mile ovals of Kansas and Charlotte, and overall he comes in sixth in my FLAGS rankings at similar tracks. In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Tyler Reddick DraftKings Picks Kevin In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. Last year, Larson started on the pole, finished 2nd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, led a race high 70 laps, had a 3.2 average running position, earned the best driver rating and then finished 3rd when the checkered flag waved. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. ET . Michigan | NASCAR Fantasy Picks - FireKeepers Casino 400 (2021 Race #25) Watch on Slingshot Fantasy Auto Contest Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400 at With horsepower at a premium, teams and drivers will need to make speed. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! Before that, McClure highlighted Hamlin at New Hampshire, who finished sixth after starting 14th. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. His average running position was about 29th! Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). Aric Almirola: +500. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. Even if he doesnt, he should still do well on DraftKings. In addition, the driver of the No. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Before we get into this DraftKings article, make sure you check out my FanDuel write-up for Michigan as well (click here) because theres a lot of crossover between these two sites. ET (ESPN+). This type of track suits Reddick very well. AJ Allmendinger didnt run very many intermediate tracks last year, but he did cross the line in 10th at World Wide Technology Raceway. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. Now without further ado, lets goooo!!!! The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Theres no better time than now to give it a try!