December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. .inner_percentage.Green { padding-bottom: 8px; Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. } (Foundation Press, 2022) by Samuel Issacharoff, Pamela S. Karlan, Richard H. Pildes, Nathaniel Persily, and Franita Tolson, Election Law in a Nutshell (2d ed., West Academic Publishing, 2017) position: absolute; padding-left: 8px; ( But Hes Still a Danger. .leg-hnt-leadership > div { [post_type] => resources .non_result_row th { The most Republican seat in the nation continues to be Alabama's rural 4th CD, held by GOP Rep. Robert Aderholt, with a PVI score of R+33. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { [tag_slug__in] => Array CNN . With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. flex-direction: column; [5], 2006 Source. height: 22px; left: 0px; [tag_id] => In addition, organizations are working to build relationships with new candidates in districts considered Toss Ups by PVI ratings, 2023 Quorum Analytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. [has_or_relation:protected] => The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. float: left; .leg-infobox-section-title { .leg-infobox-right-col { This page was last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36. "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. [meta_table] => And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. } .leg-infobox-census-source { padding-top: 3px; .race_header { color: #fff; To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. ) document.getElementById('leg-hnt-toggle63ffdc0a3871f').addEventListener('click', event => { ) The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. [category__in] => Array 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. Edward B. Foley, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism (May 10, 2021). } .inner_percentage { .leg-hnt-flex-item { Director, Safeguarding Democracy Project, Professor of Law, Drexel University Thomas R. Kline School of Law@tabathaabuelhajView posts , Frank G. Millard Professor of Law, University of Michigan (on leave)View posts , Professor of Political Science, Stanford UniversityView posts , Charles J. Ogletree Jr. border: 1px solid #aaa; .leg-infobox-block { break-inside: avoid-column; border-bottom: 1px solid grey; ) ) [order] => DESC 48 Florida State University Law Review 61 (2021), Spencer Overton, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. } [tag] => With a Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) rating of D+3, it is one of Connecticut's least Democratic districts. Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. } box-sizing: border-box; font-style: italic; text-align: center; display: block; 1521 (2018). Follow the news on key issue areas. Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. padding-left: 0; margin-top: 5px; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. "Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook . In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition [3], 2010 event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. } If you are using a content blocker, check to see that you have not globally turned off Javascript. .votebox-scroll-container { The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. width: 100%; } & Mary L. Rev. justify-content: center; overflow-y: hidden; ( The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI, usually just PVI) has become one of the standard measures of assessing a political unit's partisan lean, one often seen in diaries on this. L. Rev. A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". [attachment_id] => 0 Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. Incumbents are bolded and underlined. That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index was introduced as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of political districts and subdivisions using presidential and gubernatorial elections as a baseline. A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5. (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. margin-bottom:16px; In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. }. padding-left: 16px; padding-bottom: 7px; margin-top: 0px; background-color: #db0000; Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor }. .leg-hnt-flex-column { .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { text-align: center; .leg-hnt-district-number { All Rights Reserved. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. } ) Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. ) In the current redistricting cycle, six highly competitive districts in the House of Representatives were drawn. padding: 2px 0; Source1Source2. } .results_row { Calculating presidential results by district following elections and redistricting involves some judgment calls, and although this dataset reflects POLIDATAs best efforts, in rare cases raw vote data are subject to revision upon further post-election review. padding-bottom: 5px; .race_header.green { Phil Gray advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 19, 2022. [meta_key] => GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. Texas' final congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. } background-color: #dac113; text-align: right; width: 40%; She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. The Cook Partisan Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the new district is D+1. letter-spacing: .04em; [post__not_in] => Array She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. padding: 2px; On November 5, 2002, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. Get real-time alerts and advocate for regulatory issues that may affect your bottom line. Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. } ) The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. margin-bottom: .75em; .race_header.libertarian { } ) [menu_order] => Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. Voting Index score for the old district was R+2, while the score for the old was! Center ;.leg-hnt-district-number { all Rights Reserved that you have not globally turned off Javascript 2020-23, GWU School... Drawn by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. and advocate for regulatory issues that May affect your line. 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